Quirky Research
β–Έ Uncategorized β–Έ Simple NFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2010, After SF-SD

Simple NFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2010, After SF-SD

Notes and assumptions:

  1. No possibility of tie games.
  2. Tiebreakers are as they would be at the end of the season, NOT as of right now. (Example: NO and TB can only be tied if TB beats NO.)
  3. Tiebreakers that don’t affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.
  4. Divisional ties are broken first.
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength-of-victory is the combined winning percentage of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. The NFC #6 seed will have at least a 9-7 record. (Though the NFC West winner can be as bad as 6-9-1.)
  8. Locked berths: none.
  9. Clinched divisions: none.
  10. Clinched berths: none.
  11. Eliminated: CAR, DET, DAL, WAS, MIN.
  12. Eliminated barring STL-SEA tie: ARI.
  13. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.

NFC Tiebreakers after Week 14 and SF-SD:

Tied Teams Record Extra condition Winner Why?
Divisional:
PHI-NYG any PHI beats NYG PHI head-to-head sweep
PHI-NYG 11-5 NYG beats PHI
and NYG beats WAS
and PHI beats DAL
NYG conference record
PHI-NYG 11-5 NYG beats PHI
and NYG beats WAS
and PHI loses to DAL
NYG division record
PHI-NYG any NYG beats PHI
and NYG loses to WAS
and PHI beats DAL
PHI division record
PHI-NYG 10-6 NYG beats PHI
and NYG loses to WAS
and PHI loses to DAL
NYG conference record
CHI-GB 10-6 CHI beats GB CHI head-to-head sweep
CHI-GB any GB beats CHI
and CHI beats MIN
CHI division record
CHI-GB 10-6 GB beats CHI
and CHI loses to MIN
and GB beats NYG
GB conference record
CHI-GB any GB beats CHI
and CHI loses to MIN
and GB loses to NYG
GB strength-of-victory
(CAR+DET+MIA [+NYJ]
vs. MIN+NYJ+SF [+NE])
ATL-NO 12-4 ATL beats NO ATL head-to-head sweep
ATL-NO any NO beats ATL
and ATL beats CAR
and NO beats TB
ATL common opponents
ATL-NO 12-4 NO beats ATL
and ATL beats CAR
and NO loses to TB
ATL division record
ATL-NO 12-4 NO beats ATL
and ATL loses to CAR
and NO beats TB
NO division record
ATL-NO any NO beats ATL
and ATL loses to CAR
and NO loses to TB
ATL common opponents
ATL-TB 11-5 ATL head-to-head sweep
NO-TB 11-5 NO beats ATL NO division record
NO-TB 11-5 NO loses to ATL
and NO beats BAL
TB conference record
NO-TB 10-6 TB beats DET NO strength-of-victory
(MIN+PIT+SEA+DAL
vs. CLE+ARI+WAS+DET)
NO-TB 10-6 TB loses to DET TB common opponents
ATL-NO-TB 11-5 ATL round robin
STL-SEA any STL beats SEA STL head-to-head sweep
STL-SEA any SEA beats STL SEA division record
STL-SF 7-9 SF head-to-head sweep
STL-ARI 7-9 STL division record
SEA-SF 7-9 SF division record
SEA-ARI 7-9 SEA head-to-head sweep
STL-SEA-SF 7-9 SF round robin
STL-SEA-ARI 7-9 STL beats SEA STL round robin
STL-SEA-ARI 7-9 SEA beats STL SEA ARI eliminated on round robin;
division record
Conference:
PHI-CHI any CHI head-to-head
PHI-GB any GB head-to-head
PHI-ATL any PHI head-to-head
PHI-NO any NO conference record
PHI-TB any TB conference record
NYG-CHI any NYG head-to-head
NYG-GB any NYG beats GB NYG head-to-head
NYG-GB any GB beats NYG GB head-to-head
NYG-ATL any NYG conference record
NYG-NO any NO common opponents
NYG-TB any NYG beats WAS
and TB beats DET
and TB beats SEA
likely NYG strength-of-victory
NYG-TB any NYG beats WAS
and (TB loses to DET
or TB loses to SEA)
NYG common opponents
NYG-TB any NYG loses to WAS
and TB beats DET
and TB beats SEA
TB common opponents
NYG-TB any (NYG loses to WAS
and TB beats DET
and TB loses to SEA)
or (NYG loses to WAS
and TB loses to DET
and TB beats SEA)
likely NYG strength-of-victory
NYG-TB 9-7 NYG loses to WAS
and TB loses to DET
and TB loses to SEA
NYG common opponents
CHI-ATL any CHI beats NYJ CHI common opponents
CHI-ATL 11-5 CHI loses to NYJ CHI conference record
CHI-NO any CHI beats NYJ NO conference record
CHI-NO any CHI loses to NYJ NO common opponents
CHI-TB any CHI beats NYJ TB conference record
CHI-TB any CHI loses to NYJ
and (TB beats DET
or TB beats SEA)
TB common opponents
CHI-STL 9-7 CHI conference record
CHI-SEA 9-7 SEA head-to-head
GB-ATL 11-5 ATL head-to-head
GB-NO 11-5 NO beats BAL GB common opponents
GB-NO any GB beats NE
and NO loses to BAL
NO conference record
GB-NO 10-6 GB loses to NE GB common opponents
GB-TB any GB beats NE TB conference record
GB-TB 10-6 GB loses to NE
and TB beats DET
TB common opponents

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