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2020 AFC tiebreakers after Week 16

The following charts seek to answer the following question: If these two (or more) teams finish with the same record, who wins the tiebreaker?

Notes and assumptions:

  1. No possibility of future tie games.
  2. Tiebreaker winners are as they would be if the teams were tied at the end of the season, NOT as if the season ended right now.
  3. Tiebreakers that don’t affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.
  4. Division ties are broken first. If MIA, CLE and BAL all finish 10-6, break the AFC North tie between CLE and BAL first, then break the tie between the CLE-BAL winner and MIA.
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage (essentially, the number of wins) of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. BUF has clinched the AFC East, PIT has clinched the AFC North, and KC has clinched the AFC West (and the #1 seed).
  8. NYJ, JAX, CIN, LAC, HOU, DEN, NE, and LV have been eliminated.

The complete tiebreaker rules are here.

Jump to North | South | Interdivisional ties 2-way • 3-way

AFC North

If these teams tie at tie goes to based on
CLE-BAL BAL head-to-head

AFC South

If these teams tie at tie goes to based on
TEN-IND TEN division record

Interdivisional ties

2-way ties

If these teams tie at tie goes to based on
BUF-PIT BUF head-to-head
MIA-CLE MIA conference record
MIA-BAL MIA conference record
MIA-TEN 10-6 TEN common opponents
MIA-IND MIA conference record
CLE-TEN 10-6 CLE head-to-head
CLE-IND CLE head-to-head
BAL-TEN 10-6 TEN head-to-head
BAL-IND BAL head-to-head

3-way ties

If these teams tie at tie goes to based on
MIA-CLE-TEN 10-6 TEN
  1. CLE eliminated on conference record
  2. common opponents
MIA-CLE-IND MIA conference record
MIA-BAL-TEN 10-6 TEN
  1. BAL eliminated on conference record
  2. common opponents
MIA-BAL-IND MIA conference record

 

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