Quirky Research
Football2025 NFC tiebreakers after Week 16 (excluding IND-SF)

2025 NFC tiebreakers after Week 16 (excluding IND-SF)

The following charts seek to answer the following question: If these two (or more) teams finish with the same record, who wins the tiebreaker?

Notes and assumptions:

  1. No possibility of future tie games.
  2. Tiebreaker winners are as they would be if the teams were tied at the end of the season, NOT as if the season ended right now. (Example: the only way CAR and TB wind up with the same record at the end of the season is if TB beats CAR in Week 18.)
  3. Tiebreakers that don’t affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored, as are tiebreakers that can’t happen. (Example: If PHI and SF each have 11 wins, PHI wins the NFC East but SF does not win the NFC West.)
  4. Division ties are broken first.
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage (essentially, the number of wins) of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. DAL, NYG, WAS, MIN, ATL, NO, and ARI have been eliminated.
  8. PHI has clinched the NFC East.
  9. CHI, SEA, LAR, and SF have clinched playoff berths.

The complete tiebreaker rules are here.

Jump to South | West | Interdivisional ties 2-way3-way

NFC South

If these teams tie at tie goes to based on
TB-CAR TB common opponents
TB-CAR-ATL 8-9 CAR head-to-head

NFC West

If these teams tie at with these things happening tie goes to based on
LAR-SEA 13-4 SEA beats SF LAR common opponents
LAR-SEA 12-5
  • SEA loses to SF and
  • LAR beats ARI
LAR division record
LAR-SEA 12-5 LAR loses to ARI LAR common opponents
LAR-SF
  • LAR beats ARI and
  • SF beats SEA
SF division record
LAR-SF 12-5
  • LAR beats ARI and
  • SF loses to SEA
LAR common opponents
LAR-SF LAR loses to ARI SF division record
SEA-SF SF head-to-head
LAR-SEA-SF SF head-to-head

Interdivisional ties

2-way ties

If these teams tie at with these things happening tie goes to based on
PHI-CHI CHI head-to-head
PHI-CAR 10-7 CAR common opponents
PHI-LAR 12-5 PHI head-to-head
PHI-SEA 12-5 PHI conference record
PHI-SF 12-5 SF beats IND PHI common opponents
PHI-SF 12-5 SF loses to IND SF conference record
CHI-LAR CHI conference record
CHI-SEA CHI conference record
CHI-SF 12-5 CHI beats SF CHI head-to-head
CHI-SF SF beats CHI SF head-to-head
DET-SF 10-7 SF conference record

3-way ties

If these teams tie at with these things happening tie goes to based on
PHI-CHI-LAR 12-5 PHI conference record
PHI-CHI-SEA 12-5 PHI conference record
PHI-CHI-SF 12-5 CHI beats SF CHI head-to-head
PHI-CHI-SF 12-5 SF beats CHI SF conference record

 

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