Notes and assumptions:
- No possibility of tie games.
- Tiebreakers are as they would be at the end of the season, NOT as of right now. (Example: NO and TB can only be tied if TB beats NO.)
- Tiebreakers that don’t affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.
- Divisional ties are broken first.
- If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
- Strength-of-victory is the combined winning percentage of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
- The NFC #6 seed will have at least a 9-7 record. (Though the NFC West winner can be as bad as 6-9-1.)
- Locked berths: none.
- Clinched divisions: none.
- Clinched berths: none.
- Eliminated: CAR, DET, DAL, WAS, MIN.
- Eliminated barring STL-SEA tie: ARI.
- The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
NFC Tiebreakers after Week 14 and SF-SD:
| Tied Teams |
Record |
Extra condition |
Winner |
Why? |
| Divisional: |
|
|
|
|
| PHI-NYG |
any |
PHI beats NYG |
PHI |
head-to-head sweep |
| PHI-NYG |
11-5 |
NYG beats PHI
and NYG beats WAS
and PHI beats DAL |
NYG |
conference record |
| PHI-NYG |
11-5 |
NYG beats PHI
and NYG beats WAS
and PHI loses to DAL |
NYG |
division record |
| PHI-NYG |
any |
NYG beats PHI
and NYG loses to WAS
and PHI beats DAL |
PHI |
division record |
| PHI-NYG |
10-6 |
NYG beats PHI
and NYG loses to WAS
and PHI loses to DAL |
NYG |
conference record |
| CHI-GB |
10-6 |
CHI beats GB |
CHI |
head-to-head sweep |
| CHI-GB |
any |
GB beats CHI
and CHI beats MIN |
CHI |
division record |
| CHI-GB |
10-6 |
GB beats CHI
and CHI loses to MIN
and GB beats NYG |
GB |
conference record |
| CHI-GB |
any |
GB beats CHI
and CHI loses to MIN
and GB loses to NYG |
GB |
strength-of-victory
(CAR+DET+MIA [+NYJ]
vs. MIN+NYJ+SF [+NE]) |
| ATL-NO |
12-4 |
ATL beats NO |
ATL |
head-to-head sweep |
| ATL-NO |
any |
NO beats ATL
and ATL beats CAR
and NO beats TB |
ATL |
common opponents |
| ATL-NO |
12-4 |
NO beats ATL
and ATL beats CAR
and NO loses to TB |
ATL |
division record |
| ATL-NO |
12-4 |
NO beats ATL
and ATL loses to CAR
and NO beats TB |
NO |
division record |
| ATL-NO |
any |
NO beats ATL
and ATL loses to CAR
and NO loses to TB |
ATL |
common opponents |
| ATL-TB |
11-5 |
|
ATL |
head-to-head sweep |
| NO-TB |
11-5 |
NO beats ATL |
NO |
division record |
| NO-TB |
11-5 |
NO loses to ATL
and NO beats BAL |
TB |
conference record |
| NO-TB |
10-6 |
TB beats DET |
NO |
strength-of-victory
(MIN+PIT+SEA+DAL
vs. CLE+ARI+WAS+DET) |
| NO-TB |
10-6 |
TB loses to DET |
TB |
common opponents |
| ATL-NO-TB |
11-5 |
|
ATL |
round robin |
| STL-SEA |
any |
STL beats SEA |
STL |
head-to-head sweep |
| STL-SEA |
any |
SEA beats STL |
SEA |
division record |
| STL-SF |
7-9 |
|
SF |
head-to-head sweep |
| STL-ARI |
7-9 |
|
STL |
division record |
| SEA-SF |
7-9 |
|
SF |
division record |
| SEA-ARI |
7-9 |
|
SEA |
head-to-head sweep |
| STL-SEA-SF |
7-9 |
|
SF |
round robin |
| STL-SEA-ARI |
7-9 |
STL beats SEA |
STL |
round robin |
| STL-SEA-ARI |
7-9 |
SEA beats STL |
SEA |
ARI eliminated on round robin;
division record |
|
|
|
|
|
| Conference: |
|
|
|
|
| PHI-CHI |
any |
|
CHI |
head-to-head |
| PHI-GB |
any |
|
GB |
head-to-head |
| PHI-ATL |
any |
|
PHI |
head-to-head |
| PHI-NO |
any |
|
NO |
conference record |
| PHI-TB |
any |
|
TB |
conference record |
| NYG-CHI |
any |
|
NYG |
head-to-head |
| NYG-GB |
any |
NYG beats GB |
NYG |
head-to-head |
| NYG-GB |
any |
GB beats NYG |
GB |
head-to-head |
| NYG-ATL |
any |
|
NYG |
conference record |
| NYG-NO |
any |
|
NO |
common opponents |
| NYG-TB |
any |
NYG beats WAS
and TB beats DET
and TB beats SEA |
likely NYG |
strength-of-victory |
| NYG-TB |
any |
NYG beats WAS
and (TB loses to DET
or TB loses to SEA) |
NYG |
common opponents |
| NYG-TB |
any |
NYG loses to WAS
and TB beats DET
and TB beats SEA |
TB |
common opponents |
| NYG-TB |
any |
(NYG loses to WAS
and TB beats DET
and TB loses to SEA)
or (NYG loses to WAS
and TB loses to DET
and TB beats SEA)
|
likely NYG |
strength-of-victory |
| NYG-TB |
9-7 |
NYG loses to WAS
and TB loses to DET
and TB loses to SEA |
NYG |
common opponents |
| CHI-ATL |
any |
CHI beats NYJ |
CHI |
common opponents |
| CHI-ATL |
11-5 |
CHI loses to NYJ |
CHI |
conference record |
| CHI-NO |
any |
CHI beats NYJ |
NO |
conference record |
| CHI-NO |
any |
CHI loses to NYJ |
NO |
common opponents |
| CHI-TB |
any |
CHI beats NYJ |
TB |
conference record |
| CHI-TB |
any |
CHI loses to NYJ
and (TB beats DET
or TB beats SEA) |
TB |
common opponents |
| CHI-STL |
9-7 |
|
CHI |
conference record |
| CHI-SEA |
9-7 |
|
SEA |
head-to-head |
| GB-ATL |
11-5 |
|
ATL |
head-to-head |
| GB-NO |
11-5 |
NO beats BAL |
GB |
common opponents |
| GB-NO |
any |
GB beats NE
and NO loses to BAL |
NO |
conference record |
| GB-NO |
10-6 |
GB loses to NE |
GB |
common opponents |
| GB-TB |
any |
GB beats NE |
TB |
conference record |
| GB-TB |
10-6 |
GB loses to NE
and TB beats DET |
TB |
common opponents |
