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2021 NFC tiebreakers after Week 15 (plus TEN-SF, GB-CLE, ARI-IND)

by Jeremy Snyder - 0

The following charts seek to answer the following question: If these two (or more) teams finish with the same record, who wins the tiebreaker?

Notes and assumptions:

  1. No possibility of future tie games.
  2. Tiebreaker winners are as they would be if the teams were tied at the end of the season, NOT as if the season ended right now. (Example: the only way MIN and LAR wind up with the same record at the end of the season is if MIN beats LAR in Week 16.)
  3. Tiebreakers that don’t affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.
  4. Any tie for the last wild card spot at 7-10 must include NYG or WAS from the NFC East, MIN or CHI from the NFC North, and ATL or CAR from the NFC South.
  5. Division ties are broken first. If LAR, SF, and NO all finish 10-7, break the NFC West tie between LAR-SF first, then break the tie between the LAR-SF winner and NO.
  6. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  7. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage (essentially, the number of wins) of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  8. GB has clinched the NFC North.
  9. DAL has clinched a playoff berth.
  10. DET and CHI have been eliminated.

The complete tiebreaker rules are here.

Jump to East | North | South | West | Interdivisional ties 2-way • 3-way • 4-way

NFC East

If these teams tie at with these things happening tie goes to based on
DAL-PHI 10-7 ? strength of victory
PHI-WAS WAS beats PHI WAS division record
PHI-WAS 8-9 PHI beats WAS PHI head-to-head
PHI-WAS-NYG 7-10 NYG head-to-head

NFC North

If these teams tie at with these things happening tie goes to based on
MIN-CHI 7-10 ? strength of victory

NFC South

If these teams tie at with these things happening tie goes to based on
TB-NO 10-7 NO head-to-head
NO-ATL 8-9 NO beats ATL NO division record
NO-ATL ATL beats NO ATL head-to-head
NO-CAR CAR head-to-head
ATL-CAR CAR division record
NO-ATL-CAR ATL beats NO CAR
  1. NO eliminated on head-to-head
  2. division record
NO-ATL-CAR 8-9 NO beats ATL CAR head-to-head

NFC West

If these teams tie at with these things happening tie goes to based on
ARI-LAR ARI beats SEA ARI division record
ARI-LAR 11-6
  • ARI loses to SEA and
  • LAR beats SF
 LAR conference record
ARI-LAR LAR loses to SF ARI division record
ARI-SF 10-7 ARI head-to-head
LAR-SF 10-7 SF head-to-head
SF-SEA 8-9 SEA head-to-head
ARI-LAR-SF 10-7 ARI head-to-head

Interdivisional ties

2-way ties

If these teams tie at with these things happening tie goes to based on
DAL-GB DAL conference record
DAL-MIN 10-7 DAL head-to-head
DAL-TB TB head-to-head
DAL-NO 10-7 DAL head-to-head
DAL-ARI 11-6 DAL beats ARI DAL head-to-head
DAL-ARI ARI beats DAL ARI head-to-head
DAL-LAR DAL conference record
DAL-SF 10-7 DAL conference record
PHI-MIN PHI beats DAL ? strength of victory
PHI-MIN PHI loses to DAL MIN common opponents
PHI-TB 10-7 TB head-to-head
PHI-NO PHI head-to-head
PHI-ATL PHI head-to-head
PHI-CAR PHI head-to-head
PHI-ARI 10-7 PHI conference record
PHI-LAR 10-7 PHI conference record
PHI-SF SF head-to-head
PHI-SEA PHI conference record
WAS-MIN WAS conference record
WAS-NO NO head-to-head
WAS-ATL WAS head-to-head
WAS-CAR WAS head-to-head
WAS-SF WAS conference record
WAS-SEA WAS head-to-head
GB-TB TB beats NYJ GB conference record
GB-TB 12-5 TB loses to NYJ GB common opponents
GB-ARI 12-5 GB head-to-head
GB-LAR GB head-to-head
MIN-TB 10-7 GB conference record
MIN-NO NO beats MIA MIN conference record
MIN-NO NO loses to MIA, CAR MIN common opponents
MIN-NO
  • NO loses to MIA; beats CAR and
  • MIN loses to GB
 ? strength of victory
MIN-NO
  • NO loses to MIA and
  • MIN beats GB
 MIN common opponents
MIN-ATL MIN conference record
MIN-CAR MIN head-to-head
MIN-ARI 10-7 ARI head-to-head
MIN-LAR 10-7 MIN head-to-head
MIN-SF SF head-to-head
MIN-SEA MIN head-to-head
TB-ARI TB beats NYJ ARI conference record
TB-ARI TB loses to NYJ TB common opponents
TB-LAR LAR head-to-head
TB-SF 10-7 SF conference record
NO-ARI 10-7 NO conference record
NO-LAR 10-7 NO common opponents
NO-SF
  • NO beats MIA, ATL and
  • SF beats HOU
 NO common opponents
NO-SF 9-8
  • NO beats MIA; loses to ATL and
  • SF beats HOU
 ? strength of victory
NO-SF
  • NO beats MIA and
  • SF loses to HOU
 SF conference record
NO-SF 9-8
  • NO loses to MIA and
  • SF beats HOU
 NO conference record
NO-SF
  • NO loses to MIA; beats ATL and
  • SF loses to HOU
 NO common opponents
NO-SF 8-9 NO loses to MIA, ATL ? strength of victory
NO-SEA NO head-to-head
ATL-LAR 9-8 LAR conference record
ATL-SF SF head-to-head
ATL-SEA ATL beats BUF SEA conference record
ATL-SEA 8-9 ATL loses to BUF; beats DET, NO ? strength of victory
CAR-SF 8-9 ? strength of victory
CAR-SEA CAR conference record

3-way ties

If these teams tie at with these things happening tie goes to based on
DAL-GB-TB DAL conference record
DAL-GB-ARI 12-5 DAL conference record
DAL-GB-LAR DAL conference record
DAL-MIN-TB 10-7 DAL
  1. TB eliminated on conference record
  2. head-to-head
DAL-MIN-NO 10-7 DAL head-to-head
DAL-MIN-LAR 10-7 DAL
  1. LAR eliminated on conference record
  2. head-to-head
DAL-MIN-SF 10-7 DAL
  1. SF eliminated on conference record
  2. head-to-head
DAL-TB-ARI 11-6 DAL beats ARI DAL conference record
DAL-TB-ARI
  • TB beats NYJ and
  • ARI beats DAL
 ARI
  1. DAL eliminated on head-to-head
  2. conference record
DAL-TB-ARI
  • TB loses to NYJ and
  • ARI beats DAL
 TB
  1. DAL eliminated on head-to-head
  2. common opponents
DAL-TB-LAR DAL conference record
DAL-TB-SF 10-7 DAL conference record
DAL-NO-LAR 10-7 DAL conference record
DAL-NO-SF 10-7 DAL conference record
PHI-MIN-TB 10-7 PHI or MIN
  1. TB eliminated on conference record
  2. strength of victory
PHI-MIN-NO
  • NO beats MIA and
  • PHI beats DAL
 PHI or MIN
  1. NO eliminated on conference record
  2. strength of victory
PHI-MIN-NO
  • NO beats MIA and
  • PHI loses to DAL
 MIN
  1. NO eliminated on conference record
  2. common opponents
PHI-MIN-NO NO loses to MIA ? strength of victory
PHI-MIN-ATL PHI beats DAL PHI or MIN
  1. ATL eliminated on conference record
  2. strength of victory
PHI-MIN-ATL PHI loses to DAL MIN
  1. ATL eliminated on conference record
  2. common opponents
PHI-MIN-CAR PHI beats DAL PHI or MIN
  1. CAR eliminated on head-to-head
  2. strength of victory
PHI-MIN-CAR PHI loses to DAL MIN
  1. CAR eliminated on head-to-head
  2. common opponents
PHI-MIN-ARI 10-7 PHI or MIN
  1. ARI eliminated on conference record
  2. strength of victory
PHI-MIN-LAR 10-7 PHI or MIN
  1. LAR eliminated on conference record
  2. strength of victory
PHI-MIN-SF SF head-to-head
PHI-MIN-SEA PHI beats DAL PHI or MIN
  1. SEA eliminated on conference record
  2. strength of victory
PHI-MIN-SEA PHI loses to DAL MIN
  1. SEA eliminated on conference record
  2. common opponents
PHI-TB-ARI 10-7 PHI conference record
PHI-TB-LAR 10-7 PHI conference record
PHI-TB-SF 10-7 SF
  1. PHI eliminated on head-to-head
  2. conference record
PHI-NO-ARI 10-7 PHI conference record
PHI-NO-LAR 10-7 PHI conference record
PHI-NO-SF
  • NO beats MIA, ATL and
  • SF beats HOU
 NO
  1. PHI eliminated on head-to-head
  2. common opponents
PHI-NO-SF 9-8
  • NO beats MIA; loses to ATL and
  • SF beats HOU
 NO or SF
  1. PHI eliminated on head-to-head
  2. common opponents
PHI-NO-SF 9-8
  • NO loses to MIA and
  • SF beats HOU
 SF
  1. PHI eliminated on head-to-head
  2. conference record
PHI-NO-SF
  • NO beats MIA and
  • SF loses to HOU
 NO
  1. PHI eliminated on head-to-head
  2. conference record
PHI-NO-SF
  • NO loses to MIA; beats ATL and
  • SF loses to HOU
 NO
  1. PHI eliminated on head-to-head
  2. common opponents
PHI-NO-SF 8-9 NO loses to MIA, ATL NO or SF
  1. PHI eliminated on head-to-head
  2. common opponents
PHI-NO-SEA 8-9 NO beats MIA PHI conference record
PHI-NO-SEA NO loses to MIA PHI
  1. SEA eliminated on conference record
  2. head-to-head
PHI-ATL-SF SF head-to-head
PHI-ATL-SEA PHI conference record
PHI-CAR-SF 8-9 ? strength of victory
PHI-CAR-SEA PHI
  1. SEA eliminated on conference record
  2. head-to-head
WAS-MIN-NO WAS conference record
WAS-MIN-ATL WAS conference record
WAS-MIN-CAR WAS
  1. CAR eliminated on head-to-head
  2. conference record
WAS-MIN-SF WAS conference record
WAS-MIN-SEA WAS
  1. SEA eliminated on head-to-head
  2. conference record
WAS-CHI-ATL 7-10 WAS conference record
WAS-CHI-CAR 7-10 WAS conference record
WAS-NO-SF WAS conference record
WAS-NO-SEA NO head-to-head
WAS-ATL-SF WAS
  1. ATL eliminated on head-to-head
  2. conference record
WAS-ATL-SEA WAS conference record
WAS-CAR-SF 8-9 WAS conference record
WAS-CAR-SEA WAS head-to-head
NYG-MIN-ATL 7-10 NYG conference record
NYG-MIN-CAR 7-10 NYG
  1. CAR eliminated on head-to-head
  2. conference record
GB-TB-ARI 12-5 TB beats NYJ GB
  1. TB eliminated on conference record
  2. head-to-head
GB-TB-ARI 12-5 TB loses to NYJ ? strength of victory
GB-TB-LAR 12-5
  • TB beats NYJ and
  • LAR beats BAL
 GB
  1. TB eliminated on conference record
  2. head-to-head
GB-TB-LAR 12-5
  • TB loses to NYJ and
  • LAR beats BAL
 ? strength of victory
GB-TB-LAR 12-5 LAR loses to BAL LAR conference record
MIN-TB-ARI 10-7 MIN conference record
MIN-TB-LAR 10-7 MIN conference record
MIN-TB-SF 10-7 MIN conference record
MIN-NO-ARI 10-7 MIN conference record
MIN-NO-LAR 10-7 MIN conference record
MIN-NO-SF
  • NO beats MIA and
  • SF beats HOU
 MIN conference record
MIN-NO-SF 9-8
  • MIN beats GB and
  • NO loses to MIA and
  • SF beats HOU
 MIN
  1. SF eliminated on conference record
  2. common opponents
MIN-NO-SF 9-8
  • MIN loses to GB and
  • NO loses to MIA and
  • SF beats HOU
 MIN or NO
  1. SF eliminated on conference record
  2. strength of victory
MIN-NO-SF
  • NO beats MIA and
  • SF loses to HOU
 SF
  1. NO eliminated on conference record
  2. head-to-head
MIN-NO-SF
  • NO loses to MIA and
  • SF loses to HOU
 ? strength of victory
MIN-NO-SEA 8-9 NO beats MIA MIN
  1. SEA eliminated on head-to-head
  2. conference record
MIN-NO-SEA NO loses to MIA, CAR MIN
  1. SEA eliminated on head-to-head
  2. common opponents
MIN-NO-SEA 8-9
  • NO loses to MIA; beats CAR and
  • MIN loses to GB
 MIN or SEA
  1. SEA eliminated on head-to-head
  2. strength of victory
MIN-NO-SEA 8-9
  • NO loses to MIA and
  • MIN beats GB
 MIN
  1. SEA eliminated on head-to-head
  2. common opponents
MIN-ATL-SF SF head-to-head
MIN-ATL-SEA MIN conference record
MIN-CAR-SF 8-9 ? strength of victory
MIN-CAR-SEA MIN
  1. SEA eliminated on conference record
  2. head-to-head

4-way ties

If these teams tie at with these things happening tie goes to based on
DAL-GB-TB-ARI 12-5 DAL conference record
DAL-GB-TB-LAR DAL conference record
DAL-MIN-TB-LAR 10-7 DAL
  1. TB & LAR eliminated on conference record
  2. head-to-head
DAL-MIN-TB-SF 10-7 DAL
  1. TB & SF eliminated on conference record
  2. head-to-head
DAL-MIN-NO-LAR 10-7 DAL
  1. TB & LAR eliminated on conference record
  2. head-to-head
DAL-MIN-NO-SF 10-7 DAL
  1. TB & SF eliminated on conference record
  2. head-to-head
PHI-MIN-TB-ARI 10-7 PHI or MIN
  1. TB & ARI eliminated on conference record
  2. strength of victory
PHI-MIN-TB-LAR 10-7 PHI or MIN
  1. TB & LAR eliminated on conference record
  2. strength of victory
PHI-MIN-TB-SF 10-7 PHI or MIN
  1. TB & SF eliminated on conference record
  2. strength of victory
PHI-MIN-NO-ARI 10-7 PHI or MIN
  1. NO & ARI eliminated on conference record
  2. strength of victory
PHI-MIN-NO-LAR 10-7 PHI or MIN
  1. NO & LAR eliminated on conference record
  2. strength of victory
PHI-MIN-NO-SF
  • NO beats MIA and
  • SF beats HOU
 PHI or MIN
  1. NO & SF eliminated on conference record
  2. strength of victory
PHI-MIN-NO-SF 9-8
  • NO loses to MIA and
  • SF beats HOU
 PHI, MIN, or NO
  1. SF eliminated on conference record
  2. strength of victory
PHI-MIN-NO-SF
  • NO beats MIA and
  • SF loses to HOU
 SF
  1. NO eliminated on conference record
  2. head-to-head
PHI-MIN-NO-SF
  • NO loses to MIA and
  • SF loses to HOU
 ? strength of victory
PHI-MIN-NO-SEA 8-9
  • NO beats MIA and
  • PHI beats DAL
 PHI or MIN
  1. NO & SEA eliminated on conference record
  2. strength of victory
PHI-MIN-NO-SEA 8-9
  • NO beats MIA and
  • PHI loses to DAL
 MIN
  1. NO & SEA eliminated on conference record
  2. common opponents
PHI-MIN-NO-SEA NO loses to MIA PHI, MIN, or NO
  1. SEA eliminated on conference record
  2. strength of victory
PHI-MIN-ATL-SF SF head-to-head
PHI-MIN-ATL-SEA PHI beats DAL PHI or MIN
  1. ATL & SEA eliminated on conference record
  2. strength of victory
PHI-MIN-ATL-SEA PHI loses to DAL MIN
  1. ATL & SEA eliminated on conference record
  2. common opponents
PHI-MIN-CAR-SF 8-9 ? strength of victory
PHI-MIN-CAR-SEA PHI beats DAL PHI or MIN
  1. SEA eliminated on conference record
  2. CAR eliminated on head-to-head
  3. strength of victory
PHI-MIN-CAR-SEA PHI loses to DAL MIN
  1. SEA eliminated on conference record
  2. CAR eliminated on head-to-head
  3. common opponents
WAS-MIN-NO-SF WAS conference record
WAS-MIN-NO-SEA WAS
  1. SEA eliminated on head-to-head
  2. conference record
WAS-MIN-ATL-SF WAS conference record
WAS-MIN-ATL-SEA WAS conference record
WAS-MIN-CAR-SF 8-9 WAS conference record
WAS-MIN-CAR-SEA WAS conference record
WAS-CHI-ATL-SEA 7-10 WAS conference record
WAS-CHI-CAR-SEA 7-10 WAS conference record
NYG-MIN-ATL-SEA 7-10 NYG conference record
NYG-MIN-CAR-SEA 7-10 NYG conference record

 

Jeremy Snyder

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