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2022 AFC tiebreakers after Week 16

The following charts seek to answer the following question: If these two (or more) teams finish with the same record, who wins the tiebreaker?

Notes and assumptions:

  1. No possibility of future tie games (tie scenarios may be added next week).
  2. Tiebreaker winners are as they would be if the teams were tied at the end of the season, NOT as if the season ended right now. (Example: the only way CIN and BAL wind up with the same record at the end of the season is if BAL wins their Week 18 matchup.)
  3. Tiebreakers that don’t affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored. (Example: any non-South tie at fewer than 8 wins.)
  4. Division ties are broken first. If MIA, NE, and LAC all finish 9-8, break the East tie between MIA and NE first, then break the tie between the MIA-NE winner and LAC.
  5. Any tie for the final wild card at 8-9 must include NE from the East.
  6. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  7. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage (essentially, the number of wins) of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  8. BUF has clinched the East. KC has clinched the West.
  9. LAC has clinched a wild card spot.
  10. CIN and BAL have clinched a playoff spot.
  11. CLE, HOU, IND, and DEN have been eliminated.

The complete tiebreaker rules are here.

Jump to East | North | South | Interdivisional ties 2-way • 3-way • 4-way

AFC East

If these teams tie at tie goes to based on
MIA-NYJ 9-8 NYJ head-to-head
NYJ-NE 9-8 NE head-to-head
MIA-NYJ-NE 8-9 NE head-to-head

AFC North

If these teams tie at tie goes to based on
BAL-CIN BAL head-to-head
PIT-CLE 8-9 CLE head-to-head

AFC South

If these teams tie at with these things happening tie goes to based on
TEN-JAX 8-9 TEN beats JAX TEN division record
TEN-JAX 8-9 JAX beats TEN JAX head-to-head

Interdivisional ties

2-way ties

If these teams tie at tie goes to based on
BUF-BAL 12-5 BUF head-to-head
BUF-CIN CIN head-to-head
BUF-KC BUF head-to-head
MIA-BAL 10-7 MIA head-to-head
MIA-PIT 9-8 MIA head-to-head
MIA-LAC LAC head-to-head
NYJ-PIT 9-8 NYJ head-to-head
NYJ-LAC 9-8 LAC conference record
NE-CLE 8-9 NE head-to-head
NE-PIT NE head-to-head
NE-TEN 8-9 NE conference record
NE-JAX 8-9 JAX conference record
NE-LAC 9-8 LAC common opponents
NE-LV 8-9 LV head-to-head
BAL-KC 12-5 BAL conference record
BAL-LAC 10-7 LAC conference record
CIN-KC CIN head-to-head
CIN-LAC 11-6 LAC conference record
PIT-LAC 9-8 LAC conference record

3-way ties

If these teams tie at with these things happening tie goes to based on
BUF-BAL-KC 12-5 BUF head-to-head
BUF-CIN-KC CIN head-to-head
MIA-BAL-LAC 10-7 LAC beats LAR MIA conference record
MIA-BAL-LAC 10-7 LAC loses to LAR LAC
  1. BAL eliminated on conference record
  2. head-to-head
MIA-PIT-LAC 9-8 LAC
  1. PIT eliminated on conference record
  2. head-to-head
NYJ-PIT-LAC 9-8 LAC conference record
NE-CLE-TEN 8-9 NE conference record
NE-CLE-JAX 8-9 JAX conference record
NE-CLE-LV 8-9 LV
  1. CLE eliminated on conference record
  2. head-to-head
NE-PIT-TEN 8-9 NE conference record
NE-PIT-JAX 8-9 JAX conference record
NE-PIT-LAC 9-8 LAC
  1. PIT eliminated on head-to-head
  2. common opponents
NE-PIT-LV 8-9 LV
  1. PIT eliminated on conference record
  2. head-to-head
NE-TEN-LV 8-9 LV
  1. TEN eliminated on conference record
  2. head-to-head
NE-JAX-LV 8-9 JAX conference record

4-way ties

If these teams tie at tie goes to based on
NE-CLE-TEN-LV 8-9 LV
  1. CLE & TEN eliminated on conference record
  2. head-to-head
NE-CLE-JAX-LV 8-9 JAX conference record
NE-PIT-TEN-LV 8-9 LV
  1. PIT & TEN eliminated on conference record
  2. head-to-head
NE-PIT-JAX-LV 8-9 JAX conference record

 

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