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2022 NFC tiebreakers after Week 16

The following charts seek to answer the following question: If these two (or more) teams finish with the same record, who wins the tiebreaker?

Notes and assumptions:

  1. No possibility of future tie games except for CAR-NO.
  2. Tiebreaker winners are as they would be if the teams were tied at the end of the season, NOT as if the season ended right now. (Example: the only way TB and CAR wind up with the same record at the end of the season is if CAR beats TB in Week 17.)
  3. Tiebreakers that don’t affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored (Example: any non-South tiebreaker with a record worse than 8-9).
  4. Division ties are broken first. If DET, GB, and SEA all finish 8-9, break the North tie between DET and GB first, then break the tie between the DET-GB winner and SEA.
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage (essentially, the number of wins) of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. MIN has clinched the NFC North and SF has clinched the NFC West.
  8. PHI and DAL have clinched playoff berths.
  9. CHI, ATL, ARI, and LAR have been eliminated.

The complete tiebreaker rules are here.

Jump to East | North | South | Interdivisional ties 2-way • 3-way

NFC East

If these teams tie at tie goes to based on
PHI-DAL 13-4 DAL division record
NYG-WAS NYG head-to-head

NFC North

If these teams tie at with these things happening tie goes to based on
DET-GB 8-9 DET beats GB DET head-to-head
DET-GB 8-9 GB beats DET, MIN DET common opponents
DET-GB 8-9 GB beats DET; loses to MIN DET division record

NFC South

If these teams tie at tie goes to based on
TB-ATL 7-10 TB division record
TB-CAR CAR head-to-head
TB-NO TB head-to-head
CAR-NO 7-9-1 CAR head-to-head
TB-CAR-NO 7-10 CAR head-to-head
TB-ATL-CAR-NO 7-10 CAR head-to-head/division record

Interdivisional ties

2-way ties

If these teams tie at with these things happening tie goes to based on
PHI-MIN PHI head-to-head
PHI-MIN PHI head-to-head
PHI-SF 13-4 SF conference record
DAL-MIN 13-4 DAL head-to-head
DAL-SF 13-4 SF conference record
MIN-SF SF conference record
DET-TB 8-9 TB conference record
DET-NO 8-9 NO common opponents
DET-SEA SEA head-to-head
GB-TB 8-9 GB head-to-head
GB-NO 8-9 ? strength of victory
GB-SEA 8-9 GB conference record
GB-SEA SEA beats NYJ GB conference record
GB-SEA 8-9 SEA loses to NYJ SEA common opponents
TB-SEA 8-9 TB head-to-head
NO-SEA 8-9 NO head-to-head

3-way ties

If these teams tie at with these things happening tie goes to based on
PHI-MIN-SF 13-4 SF conference record
DAL-MIN-SF 13-4 SF conference record
DET-TB-SEA 8-9 TB conference record
DET-NO-SEA 8-9 SEA beats NYJ NO
  1. SEA eliminated on conference record
  2. common opponents
DET-NO-SEA 8-9 SEA loses to NYJ ? strength of victory
GB-TB-SEA 8-9 TB conference record
GB-NO-SEA 8-9 SEA beats NYJ GB or NO
  1. SEA eliminated on conference record
  2. strength of victory
GB-NO-SEA 8-9 SEA loses to NYJ ? strength of victory

 

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