Quirky Research
Football2023 NFC tiebreakers after Week 17

2023 NFC tiebreakers after Week 17

The following charts seek to answer the following question: If these two (or more) teams finish with the same record, who wins the tiebreaker?

Notes and assumptions:

  1. No possibility of future tie games.
  2. Tiebreaker winners are as they would be if the teams were tied at the end of the season, NOT as if the season ended right now. (Example: the only way NO and ATL wind up with the same record at the end of the season is if ATL beats NO Week 18.)
  3. Tiebreakers that don’t affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored (examples: any tie at fewer than 8 wins, or any tie between 11-6 non-division winner PHI and 11-6 NFC North winner DET).
  4. Division ties are broken first. If NO, ATL, and SEA all finish 8-9, break the NFC South tie between NO and ATL first, then break the tie between the NO-ATL winner and LAR.
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage (essentially, the number of wins) of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. SF has clinched the NFC West and the #1 seed.
  8. DET has clinched the NFC North.
  9. PHI, DAL, and LAR have clinched playoff berths.
  10. CAR, ARI, WAS, NYG, and CHI have been eliminated. CHI appears in some scenarios but can not advance.

The complete tiebreaker rules are here.

Jump to East | North | South | West | Interdivisional ties 2-way3-way

NFC East

If these teams tie at tie goes to based on
PHI-DAL DAL conference record

NFC North

If these teams tie at tie goes to based on
MIN-GB 8-9 MIN conference record
MIN-CHI 8-9 MIN common opponents
GB-CHI 8-9 GB common opponents
MIN-GB-CHI 8-9 MIN
  1. CHI eliminated on common opponents
  2. conference record

NFC South

If these teams tie at tie goes to based on
NO-ATL 8-9 ATL head-to-head
NO-TB TB common opponents
ATL-TB 8-9 ATL division record
NO-ATL-TB 8-9 ATL head-to-head

NFC West

If these teams tie at tie goes to based on
SEA-LAR 9-8 LAR head-to-head

Interdivisional ties

2-way ties

If these teams tie at tie goes to based on
PHI-DET 12-5 PHI strength of victory
PHI-SF 12-5 SF head-to-head
DAL-DET DAL head-to-head
DAL-SF 12-5 SF head-to-head
GB-NO 9-8 GB head-to-head
GB-SEA 9-8 GB strength of victory
GB-LAR 9-8 GB head-to-head
NO-SEA 9-8 SEA conference record
NO-LAR 9-8 LAR head-to-head

3-way ties

If these teams tie at tie goes to based on
PHI-DET-SF 12-5 SF conference record
DAL-DET-SF 12-5 SF conference record
MIN-NO-SEA 8-9 MIN conference record
MIN-TB-SEA 8-9 MIN conference record
MIN-ATL-SEA 8-9 MIN conference record
GB-NO-LAR 9-8 GB head-to-head
GB-NO-SEA GB
  1. NO eliminated on conference record
  2. strength of victory
GB-TB-SEA 8-9 GB strength of victory
GB-ATL-SEA 8-9 GB
  1. ATL eliminated on conference record
  2. strength of victory

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