Quirky Research
FootballNFC tiebreaker scenarios entering Week 17

NFC tiebreaker scenarios entering Week 17

The following charts seek to answer the following question: If these two (or more) teams finish with the same record, who wins the tiebreaker?

Notes and assumptions:

  1. At most 1 more tie game.
  2. Tiebreaker winners are as they would be if the teams were tied at the end of the season, NOT as if the season ended right now.
  3. Tiebreakers that don’t affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.
  4. Division ties are broken first.
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage (essentially, the number of wins) of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.

NO has clinched the NFC West and the #1 seed. DAL, CHI, NO, and LAR have clinched their divisions. SEA has clinched a playoff berth. NYG, WAS, GB, DET, TB, ATL, CAR, ARI, and SF are mathematically eliminated.

The complete tiebreaker rules are here.

Jump to East | Interdivisional ties 2-way3-way

NFC East

If these teams tie at tie goes to based on
DAL-PHI 9-7 DAL head-to-head

Interdivisional ties

2-way ties

If these teams tie at tie goes to based on
PHI-MIN MIN head-to-head
PHI-SEA 9-7 SEA conference record
MIN-SEA SEA head-to-head
CHI-LAR 12-4 CHI head-to-head
NO-LAR 13-3 NO head-to-head

3-way ties

If these teams tie at tie goes to based on
PHI-MIN-SEA 9-7 or 8-6-2 SEA
  1. PHI eliminated on conference record
  2. head-to-head


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