Quirky Research
β–Έ Football β–Έ NFL β–Έ NFL Tiebreakers β–Έ AFC tiebreaker scenarios entering Week 16 (plus WAS-TEN, BAL-LAC)

AFC tiebreaker scenarios entering Week 16 (plus WAS-TEN, BAL-LAC)

The following charts seek to answer the following question: If these two (or more) teams finish with the same record, who wins the tiebreaker?

Notes and assumptions:

  1. At most 1 future tie game.
  2. Tiebreaker winners are as they would be if the teams were tied at the end of the season, NOT as if the season ended right now.
  3. Tiebreakers that don’t affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.
  4. Division ties are broken first.
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage (essentially, the number of wins) of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.

No AFC team has yet clinched a playoff seed. KC and LAC have clinched playoff berths. NYJ, BUF, CIN, CLE, JAX, DEN, and OAK are mathematically eliminated.

The complete tiebreaker rules are here.

Jump to East | North | South | West | Interdivisional ties 2-way β€’ 3-way

AFC East

If these teams tie at tie goes to based on
NE-MIA 9-7 MIA division record

AFC North

If these teams tie at tie goes to based on
PIT-BAL PIT division record

AFC South

If these teams tie at with these things happening tie goes to based on
HOU-IND 10-6 IND division record
HOU-TEN 10-6 TEN division record
IND-TEN IND head-to-head

AFC West

If these teams tie at with these things happening tie goes to based on
KC-LAC 12-4 KC beats OAK KC division record
KC-LAC 12-4
  • LAC beats DEN
  • KC loses to OAK
KC common opponents
KC-LAC 11-5 LAC loses to DEN KC division record

Interdivisional ties

2-way ties

If these teams tie at with these things happening tie goes to based on
NE-PIT PIT head-to-head
NE-BAL BAL conference record
NE-HOU NE head-to-head
NE-IND NE head-to-head
NE-TEN TEN head-to-head
NE-KC 11-5 NE head-to-head
MIA-PIT MIA conference record
MIA-BAL 9-7 MIA conference record
MIA-IND 9-7 IND head-to-head
MIA-TEN 9-7 MIA head-to-head
PIT-HOU HOU conference record
PIT-IND PIT beats or ties NO IND conference record
PIT-IND
  • PIT loses to NO
  • IND beats NYG
PIT common opponents
PIT-IND IND loses to or ties NYG IND conference record
PIT-TEN PIT beats NO ? strength of victory
PIT-TEN PIT loses to or ties NO PIT conference record
BAL-HOU 10-6 ? strength of victory
BAL-IND IND beats NYG BAL conference record
BAL-IND 9-7 IND loses to NYG ? strength of victory
BAL-TEN BAL head-to-head
HOU-KC 12-4 KC beats SEA ? strength of victory
HOU-KC
  • HOU beats PHI
  • KC loses to SEA
KC conference record
HOU-KC 11-5 HOU loses to PHI ? strength of victory
HOU-LAC 12-4 ? strength of victory

3-way ties

If these teams tie at with these things happening tie goes to based on
NE-PIT-HOU 10-6 / 9-5-2 HOU conference record
NE-PIT-IND 10-6 / 9-5-2 PIT beats or ties NO NE
  1. PIT eliminated on conference record
  2. head-to-head
NE-PIT-IND 9-7 / 8-6-2 PIT loses to NO ? strength of victory
NE-PIT-TEN 10-6 / 9-5-2 PIT beats NO PIT or TEN
  1. NE eliminated on head-to-head
  2. strength of victory
NE-PIT-TEN 10-6 / 9-5-2 PIT ties NO PIT
  1. NE eliminated on head-to-head
  2. conference record
NE-PIT-TEN 9-7 / 8-6-2 PIT loses to NO PIT or TEN
  1. NE eliminated on head-to-head
  2. strength of victory
NE-BAL-HOU 10-6 BAL or HOU
  1. NE eliminated on conference record
  2. strength of victory
NE-BAL-TEN BAL conference record
NE-HOU-KC 11-5 NE head-to-head
MIA-PIT-IND 9-7 / 8-6-2 MIA conference record
MIA-PIT-TEN 9-7 / 8-6-2 MIA conference record
MIA-BAL-IND 9-7 MIA conference record
MIA-BAL-IND 9-7 MIA conference record
MIA-BAL-IND 9-7 MIA conference record
MIA-BAL-TEN 9-7 MIA
  1. TEN eliminated on head-to-head
  2. conference record

 

Similar Articles

Leave a Reply

Top